Friday, June 06, 2014

Silly Season II

Following up on yesterday's post about Massey Ratings predicting Dartmouth will go 7-3 overall and 5-2 in the Ivy League next year, here's how Massey sees the Ivy League finishing in 2014:

1. Princeton 7-0 (10-0) 
2. Harvard 6-1 (9-1) 
3. Dartmouth 5-2 (7-3) 
4. Brown 4-3 (7-3)  
5. Yale 3-4 (5-5) 
6. Penn 2-5 (3-7) 
7. Cornell 1-6 (1-9) 
8. Columbia 0-7 (0-10)
Even Massey suggests in his "ratings description" that these numbers are only a "reasonable starting point for any predictions. From the Massey site:
Preseason ratings are typically derived as a weighted average of previous years' final ratings. As the current season progresses, their effect gets damped out completely. The only purpose preseason ratings serve is to provide a reasonable starting point for the computer. Mathematically, they guarantee a unique solution to the equations early in the season when not enough data is available yet. 
Click to enlarge
Just a couple of minutes off campus, coach Buddy Teevens' house was the scene of the Dartmouth football seniors barbecue.