Tuesday, October 26, 2021

What Do They Know? Not All That Much

Sagarin Ratings has Harvard a nine-point favorite over Dartmouth on Saturday while Massey has Harvard winning, 24-17, with 75 percent confidence.

Before you jump off the Ledyard Bridge, keep in mind Sagarin had Dartmouth as an 18.5-point favorite last week against Columbia, and Massey had Dartmouth defeating Columbia, 28-14, with 85 percent confidence.

Given all of that, take it with a grain of salt – or maybe a barrel of the stuff – that if Dartmouth and Princeton were playing in Hanover this week the Tigers would be a 4.5-point favorite per Sagarin. Massey right now sees the Big Green defeating Princeton, 24-23, with 51 percent confidence.

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ESPN has one of those bizarre computer-generated previews of the Dartmouth-Harvard game HERE. In case you are wondering here's a little information from the website of the company whose algorithm provided that "preview" (LINK): 

Data Skrive, a Seattle startup that automates the creation of sports-related content, has raised $7 million in a round led by Bettor Capital.

The company helps news outlets such as the Associated Press and ESPN produce online content. It also sells its software to sports leagues, sportsbooks and university athletic departments.

Data Skrive originally started as Hero Sports, a company founded in 2014 that focused on college sports news content. It implemented software to help automate story production, and then attracted the attention of media outlets such as AP, which began using the tech to create its own stories.

Now some of the company’s clients are purchasing more than one million articles per year.

Green Alert Take: I used to get phone and email surveys from Penn State asking if I would recommend the school of journalism, where I earned my master's degree. I always enthusiastically recommended the PSU journ school for anyone interested in getting into the newspaper business. But I always added that I wouldn't recommend anyone get into the newspaper business. It would appear I got out of it at the right time.

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Harvard Director of Athletics Erin McDermott issued this statement in response to the controversy surrounding the Harvard-Princeton football game that went in Princeton's favor:

We are extremely disappointed with the outcome of the football game due to a major officiating error. Our student-athletes deserve the right calls especially after waiting so long to play. However, we stand with the Ivy League and understand there is no recourse to determine different result. NCAA football playing rules state that no rule decision may change after the ball is next snapped even if the rule decision was incorrect, and the result of the game cannot be changed after the game has ended. We appreciate that the officiating crew will face appropriate repercussions.

Therefore, as we begin a new week of preparation, we must move forward. We host Dartmouth in Harvard Stadium this Saturday and we are looking forward to another hard-fought Ivy contest. We need the Crimson community to come out in full force with pride and passion. Let's come together to support our Harvard Football team as we continue our quest for the Ivy League title.'

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From a story in the Harvard Crimson (LINK):

The announcement yesterday did provide [a] little satisfaction in knowing that the public now knows we won that game,” wrote first-year tight end Tyler Neville in a text message. “It also [aggravates] me more than anything because they are admitting that we won the game but will do nothing about it.”

And . . .

(Harvard coach Tim) Murphy expressed confidence after the game that, despite the heartbreaking ending, the Crimson would play with motivation against Dartmouth. Neville, who led the team with 58 receiving yards on four catches on Saturday, was quick to back up his coach’s assertion.

“We will be taking our anger out on Dartmouth,” he wrote.

Green Alert Take: Well, OK then . . . 

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His numbers were modest but Columbia quarterback Joe Green was chosen Ivy League Rookie of the Week for his leadership and mistake-free play in helping the Lions to their 19-0 win over Dartmouth. Green threw for 98 yards and a touchdown on 14-for-22 passing and added 19 rushing yards on seven carries.

Dartmouth linebacker Jalen Mackie was the Big Green's lone honoree, earning a spot on the honor roll after posting 13 tackles against Columbia.

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The William & Mary school newspaper covers a talk by Reggie Williams '76, the former Dartmouth and Cincinnati Bengals linebacker. Williams' talk includes his mention of the "Freezer Bowl" game against the San Diego Chargers. (LINK)

One clarification. Although that game was certainly one of, if not the coldest in NFL history, the mention in the story of three fans dying of hypothermia turns out to be urban legend. CLICK HERE for more on that.

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STATS Perform Top 25

1st

Pts

1

Sam Houston (44)

6-0

1,244

2

North Dakota State (6)

7-0

1,201

3

Southern Illinois

6-1

1,136

4

Villanova

6-1

1,101

5

James Madison

6-1

1,023

6

Montana State

7-1

979

7

Eastern Washington

7-1

963

8

Southeastern Louisiana

6-1

909

9

UC Davis

7-1

814

10

South Dakota State

5-2

744

11

Montana

5-2

736

12

Kennesaw State

6-1

709

T-13

ETSU

7-1

627

T-13

UT Martin

6-1

627

15

Sacramento State

5-2

525

16

Northern Iowa

4-3

492

17

Missouri State

4-3

343

18

VMI

5-2

332

19

PRINCETON

6-0

310

20

Jackson State

6-1

285

21

South Dakota

5-3

228

22

Incarnate Word

5-2

223

23

Weber State

3-4

166

24

Rhode Island

5-2

125

25

Eastern Kentucky

5-2

105


Dropped Out: Delaware (23), DARTMOUTH (25)




Also Receiving Votes on two ore more ballots: William & Mary 52, Prairie View A&M 46, HARVARD 37, Chattanooga 31, Mercer 31, North Dakota 29, Delaware 24, Stephen F. Austin 10, Jacksonville State 9, Florida A&M 8, Duquesne 7, DARTMOUTH 6, COLUMBIA 5





FCS Coaches Poll

Rec

Pts

Last

1

Sam Houston (27)

6-0

675

1

2

North Dakota State

7-0

642

3

3

Southern Illinois

6-1

603

4

4

Villanova

6-1

599

5

5

James Madison

6-1

567

6

6

Montana State

7-1

511

8

7

Eastern Washington

7-1

493

2

8

Southeastern Louisiana

6-1

489

9

9

UC Davis

7-1

445

10

10

Kennesaw State

6-1

433

11

11

Montana

5-2

359

12

12

UT Martin

6-1

357

13

13

South Dakota State

5-2

336

7

14

East Tennessee State

7-1

329

14

15

PRINCETON

6-0

270

17

16

Jackson State

6-1

234

20

17

Northern Iowa

4-3

207

24

18

VMI

5-2

183

23

19

Eastern Kentucky

5-2

175

22

20

Missouri State

4-3

148

18

21

HARVARD

5-1

134

16

22

South Dakota

5-3

121

15

T-23

Sacramento State

5-2

66

NR

T-23

Weber State

3-4

66

NR

25

Rhode Island

5-2

59

19


Dropped Out: Jacksonville St. (21), Delaware (25)





Others Receiving Votes: Chattanooga, 53; William & Mary, 27; Holy Cross, 21; Stephen F. Austin, 21; Monmouth (N.J.), 20; Prairie View A&M, 19; North Dakota, 18; Mercer, 16; Delaware, 15; Florida A&M, 14; COLUMBIA, 10; DARTMOUTH, 9; Jacksonville St., 8; YALE, 8; UIW, 7; Nicholls, 3; Elon, 2; Furman, 2; Davidson, 1.




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EXTRA POINT
Strava has been described as "an internet service for tracking human exercise." That Certain Dartmouth '14 has an account and when she runs or hikes or cycles and has her GPS watch set up, the information is transmitted to Strava. By knowing her account ID we can follow her progress.

Here's a screenshot of one of her recent runs out in Colorado:


Most of her runs look somewhat similar. The first time I saw this I was confused:


What would your guess be? If you guessed she had her watch on while she was playing tennis, give yourself a gold star.

I've seen this a few times on her Strava page and like to tease her when we talk that I can tell roughly how many times she had to chase down balls hit over the fence ;-)

Strava, which is used pretty much worldwide, was founded in 2009 Hanover and still has an office there.