Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Ugh

You do not want to be on the wrong end of Tweets like this, but there you are:

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Oddsmaker 5Dimes (which I suppose could call itself 4Bits ;-) has Dartmouth as an 11-point favorite at home against Penn

Elsewhere . . . 

Columbia is a 2-point favorite at home against Princeton
Brown is a 14 1/2-point underdog at Rhode Island
Harvard is a 1 1/2-point favorite at home against Holy Cross
Yale is a 24-point favorite at home against Howard

Sacred Heart is an 11-point favorite at home over Norfolk State
New Hampshire is a 16 1/2-point underdog against Western Michigan
Valparaiso has a bye week.

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Massey Ratings has Dartmouth defeating Penn, 27-17, with 76 percent confidence. Keep in mind, Massey had Dartmouth defeating Sacred Heart, 21-7, with 93 percent confidence. 

Here's where Massey places Dartmouth and its opponents in the FCS universe:

27 - Harvard
37 - Princeton
39 - Yale
43 - Columbia
51 - Penn
55 - Dartmouth
60 - Cornell
80 - Brown 

38 - New Hampshire
74 - Sacred Heart
106 - Valparaiso

Green Alert: If there's a lesson to be learned from Massey, it's don't lose to Sacred Heart. 

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From a story in the Daily Pennsylvanian headlined, Shutout defense secures a win today, but will it be enough in the Ivy League? comes this (LINK):

Now, everyone is wondering if defense will be enough next week against Dartmouth, when the games really start to matter. Saturday’s defensive performance was undoubtedly impressive, with the Quakers exerting consistent pressure on Lafayette’s passers and hardly allowing any separation in the secondary. But still, the Leopards are a team led by a first-year coach and a freshman quarterback. They had been averaging single-digit scoring coming into this game. Dartmouth is  one of the reigning Ivy League co-champions, and if Penn wants to claim the title this year, it will not only have to repeat defensive performances like today’s, but will also need a more consistent offense. 

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EXTRA POINT
Listening to a podcast on my hike this morning I heard someone who wrote a blog post that generated a lot of unhappy emails and comments while he was vacationing at the beach say he "wanted to throw my phone in the ocean."

Sorry, but that's what you deserve for checking your phone on the beach when you are on vacation.