Friday, January 13, 2023

From One Pundit's Crystal Ball

Some interesting stuff in The Analyst's Never-Too-Early Top 10 and Sneak Peek to the 2023 Season, which features this prediction for the Ivy League race (LINK):

Yale will be favored to repeat with the return of 13 players who earned All-Ivy honors, led by quarterback Nolan Grooms, the league’s offensive player of the year. Princeton returns the big duo of quarterback Blake Stenstrom and linebacker Liam Johnson.

Green Alert Take: Expect that to be taped to the wall of a few weight rooms this winter.

The Analyst also has a too-early Top-10 that includes one 2023 Dartmouth opponent, one former Dartmouth opponent that a lot of Big Green fans would like to see back on the schedule, and one program with a former Dartmouth football standout atop its organizational flow chart.

The 2023 opponent making the cut is New Hampshire, which Dartmouth faces at Durham on Sept. 16. From The Analyst:

8. New Hampshire (9-4, No. 13) – Running back Dylan Laube, the FCS leader in all-purpose yards, and defensive ends Dylan Ruiz and Josiah Silver were first-team All-CAA selections. Quarterback Max Brosmer’s return as a third-year starter also is key.

The former opponent is Holy Cross, which comes in at No. 5. The Wildcats were 12-1 and ranked No. 6 this year. The Crusaders, by the way, will play two FBS games this fall with Boston College and Army on their schedule.

The highest-ranked team of local interest is William & Mary, which comes in at No. 4 after going 11-2 and finishing eight this year. The Tribe's athletic director is former Big Green quarterback Brian Mann '02.

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From the HERO Sports Twitter regarding 2022 FCS statistics:

Top Rushing Defenses

1. SDSU -- 88.1 YPG
2. Penn -- 89.2
3. Princeton -- 90.7
4. Harvard -- 96.5
5. Columbia -- 98.0

In case you are wondering:

7. Yale – 105.9
27. Cornell – 126.2
62. Dartmouth – 159.2
104.  Brown – 202.0

HERO also ran the top five Sacks Per Game

1. Jackson State – 3.69
2. Southern -- 3.67
3. Alcorn State - 3.55
4. Penn -- 3.40
t5. Chattanooga -- 3.18
t5. Illinois State -- 3.18

And once again, in case you were wondering:

12. Harvard – 2.90
17. Yale – 2.70
69. Princeton – 1.90
77. Dartmouth – 1.80
91. Columbia – 1.60
104. Cornell – 1.40
110. Brown – 1.30

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With his new book Passion Plays now out, Princeton Alumni Weekly has an interview with Dartmouth religion professor Randall Balmer, who earned his PhD at Princeton. From the PAW story (LINK):

He says sports is the 'new religion' in America. "And I think this is particularly true of the demographic of some white males, who see in the world of sports an alternate universe of clarity, unlike their perceptions — and I underscore perceptions — of the larger world, which they think is somehow unfair to them. So they can retreat into this alternate universe of utter clarity, where something is either in-bounds or out-of-bounds, fair or foul — where even the fields of play are defined by right angles.”

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FootballScoop has a story headlined, NCAA working to crack down on second (and third, and fourth) transfers; The Division I Council voted unanimously to update the "guidelines" for undergraduates transferring a second time. From the story (LINK):

In theory, this should eliminate players transferring three times within a career. In reality, it may come down to which players can afford lawyers that can find a loophole around this.

Green Alert Take: It's time for the NCAA to look into the grad transfer situation as well.

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EXTRA POINT
A dear friend from my hometown is visiting after speaking to a class at Middlebury College yesterday. He'd hoped to hit the slopes today and give his new ski boots their first runs. Alas, the forecast is not promising. Correction: The forecast for skiing is abysmal, calling for 42 degrees and 100 percent chance of rain.

Green Alert Take: Don't get me started again. You know how annoyed I get when the forecast calls for 0 percent chance or 100 percent chance. Mathematicians feel free to disagree, but if you ask me, if it's 0 or it's 100 percent, chance isn't in the equation.